Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey to win ✗39% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.04
Atlas vs Monterrey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Atlas v Monterrey in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Jalisco. In the table, Atlas are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Monterrey are 10th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Atlas, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Monterrey, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico San Luis, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atlas, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Monterrey.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas 1.6 xG, Monterrey 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas 37%, draw 24%, Monterrey 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas 1–1 Monterrey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas37%fair 2.71 · @2.72
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.45
Monterrey39%fair 2.54 · @2.44
3.16Expected goals
1.59Atlas xG
1.57Monterrey xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.6 – 1.6 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlas
Monterrey
Attack vs Liga MX average
+4%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.84
1.68
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey to win✗
39%
2.54
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Draw no bet
Monterrey (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Monterrey +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.12
First team to score
Atlas to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.04
–
Recent results
Atlas – last 6
LDDLWL
5 Apr
@ Leon
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Club Queretaro
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Toluca
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Guadalajara Chivas
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ FC Juarez
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monterrey – last 6
LLDDLL
5 Apr
vs Atletico San Luis
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ FC Juarez
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and Monterrey.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atlas vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Atlas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monterrey 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Monterrey?
Atlas vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán