Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPachuca to win ✓61% · @1.39
Double chancePachuca or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Pachuca vs Santos Laguna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Liga MX brings Pachuca against Santos Laguna at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Pachuca are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Santos Laguna are 6th (upper half) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pachuca, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cruz Azul, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Santos Laguna, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club America, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pachuca, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Santos Laguna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pachuca 1.9 xG, Santos Laguna 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pachuca 61%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 17%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pachuca 1–1 Santos Laguna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pachuca61%fair 1.65 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.80
Santos Laguna17%fair 5.93 · @7.00
2.95Expected goals
1.88Pachuca xG
1.07Santos Laguna xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pachuca 1.9 – 1.1 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pachuca
Santos Laguna
Attack vs Liga MX average
+17%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.17
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✓
61%
1.65
1.39
Double chance
Pachuca or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Draw no bet
Pachuca (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Santos Laguna +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.28
First team to score
Pachuca to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Pachuca ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Pachuca – last 6
WDDWWL
5 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Toluca
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Necaxa
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Mazatlán
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna – last 6
DWLWLD
5 Apr
vs Club America
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Club Tijuana
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Club Queretaro
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca and Santos Laguna.
What is the prediction for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
On our numbers Pachuca have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santos Laguna 17%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Our predicted score is Pachuca 1–1 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Pachuca vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán