U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Liga MX brings U.N.A.M. - Pumas against Mazatlán. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Guadalajara Chivas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Mazatlán, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Necaxa, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2.0 xG, Mazatlán 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – U.N.A.M. - Pumas 59%, draw 22%, Mazatlán 19%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Mazatlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas59%fair 1.68 · @1.43
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.50
Mazatlán19%fair 5.36 · @6.80
3.15Expected goals
1.96U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.19Mazatlán xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2.0 – 1.2 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Mazatlán
Attack vs Liga MX average
+5%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.91
1.43
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win
59%
1.68
1.43
Double chance
U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw
81%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Mazatlán +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas ahead at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U.N.A.M. - Pumas / FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6
DWDWLD
6 Apr
@ Guadalajara Chivas
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Club America
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Necaxa
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Toluca
2–3
L
28 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mazatlán – last 6
LDLWLW
4 Apr
@ Necaxa
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Club America
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–4
L
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Mazatlán.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mazatlán 19%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
