Club America 41%Draw 23%Cruz Azul 36%Expected goals 1.74 – 1.60
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultClub America to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Club America vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:05 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Club America v Cruz Azul in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Azteca. In the table, Club America are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Club America, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nashville SC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cruz Azul, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Los Angeles FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Club America, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Cruz Azul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club America 1.7 xG, Cruz Azul 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club America 41%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 36%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club America 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club America41%fair 2.42 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Cruz Azul36%fair 2.80 · @2.90
3.35Expected goals
1.74Club America xG
1.60Cruz Azul xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Club America 1.7 – 1.6 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club America
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
+42%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-4%
Our expected goals here
2.20
2.02
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✗
41%
2.42
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Club America (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.13
First team to score
Club America to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Club America – last 6
DDLDWW
8 Apr
@ Nashville SC
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Santos Laguna
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Philadelphia Union
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Mazatlán
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul – last 6
LLDDDW
8 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ Mazatlán
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Monterrey
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club America and Cruz Azul.
What is the prediction for Club America vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club America vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Club America have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 36%.
How many goals will there be in Club America vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club America vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Club America 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Club America vs Cruz Azul?
Club America vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán