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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cruz Azul v Club Tijuana: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Azteca
1–1
FT
Cruz Azul 61%Draw 21%Club Tijuana 18% Expected goals 2.02 – 1.16
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultCruz Azul to win ✗61% · @1.40
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Cruz Azul v Club Tijuana in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Azteca. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Club Tijuana are 9th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Cruz Azul, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Los Angeles FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Club Tijuana, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tigres UANL, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Club Tijuana, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Cruz Azul.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.0 xG, Club Tijuana 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 61%, draw 21%, Club Tijuana 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–1 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cruz Azul61%fair 1.65 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.85
Club Tijuana18%fair 5.54 · @6.75
3.18Expected goals
2.02Cruz Azul xG
1.16Club Tijuana xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.0 – 1.2 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Cruz AzulClub Tijuana
Attack vs Liga MX average+40%+0%
Goals conceded vs average-4%-10%
Our expected goals here2.011.36

Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCruz Azul to win ✗61%1.651.40
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.65
Draw no betCruz Azul (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapClub Tijuana +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.601.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.311.25
First team to scoreCruz Azul to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultCruz Azul ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Cruz Azul – last 6

DDLLDD
15 Aprvs Los Angeles FC1–1D
12 Apr@ Club America1–1D
8 Apr@ Los Angeles FC0–3L
5 Aprvs Pachuca1–2L
21 Mar@ Mazatlán1–1D
18 Marvs Monterrey1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Club Tijuana – last 6

WLWLLD
4 Aprvs Tigres UANL1–0W
21 Mar@ Necaxa0–3L
15 Mar@ Leon3–0W
9 Marvs Santos Laguna1–2L
5 Mar@ Atlas1–2L
28 Febvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Club Tijuana.

Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana?

On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Club Tijuana 18%.

How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana?

Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana?

Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.