Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.58
Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Liga MX brings Guadalajara Chivas against Puebla at Estadio Akron. Kick-off: 02:07 WAT. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Tigres UANL, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Puebla, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Puebla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 2.1 xG, Puebla 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 68%, draw 20%, Puebla 12%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guadalajara Chivas to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas68%fair 1.48 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @5.50
Puebla12%fair 8.26 · @11.50
2.93Expected goals
2.07Guadalajara Chivas xG
0.85Puebla xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 2.1 – 0.9 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
Attack vs Liga MX average
+8%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.79
0.85
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
68%
1.48
1.25
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Guadalajara Chivas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.25
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.58
–
Recent results
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
LDWWWW
12 Apr
@ Tigres UANL
1–4
L
6 Apr
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Leon
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlas
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Puebla – last 6
LDLDLW
11 Apr
vs Leon
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs FC Juarez
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Santos Laguna
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Necaxa
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas and Puebla.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Puebla 12%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leon3