Leon 48%Draw 23%FC Juarez 29%Expected goals 1.80 – 1.16
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Leon to win @ 2.24 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeon to win ✓48% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Leon vs FC Juarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leon welcome FC Juarez to Estadio Leon for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 19 April (04:06 WAT).
Current form
Leon, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Puebla, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
FC Juarez, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Queretaro, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.8 xG, FC Juarez 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 48%, draw 23%, FC Juarez 29%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Leon to win @2.24 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–1 FC Juarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon48%fair 2.08 · @2.24
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.65
FC Juarez29%fair 3.47 · @2.88
2.96Expected goals
1.80Leon xG
1.16FC Juarez xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Leon 1.8 – 1.2 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leon
FC Juarez
Attack vs Liga MX average
-3%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+24%
Our expected goals here
1.94
1.02
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leon to win✓
48%
2.08
2.24 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Draw no bet
Leon (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
FC Juarez +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
Leon to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leon / FT Leon✓
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Leon – last 6
WWWLLL
11 Apr
@ Puebla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Atlas
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–5
L
15 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
0–3
L
7 Mar
@ Mazatlán
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Juarez – last 6
DDWDLW
8 Apr
@ Club Queretaro
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Puebla
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Monterrey
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Toluca
1–3
L
5 Mar
@ Club America
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and FC Juarez.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leon vs FC Juarez?
On our numbers Leon have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Juarez 29%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs FC Juarez?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs FC Juarez?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 FC Juarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Leon vs FC Juarez?
Leon vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
