Value bet: Miami FC to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMiami FC to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Miami FC vs Brooklyn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brooklyn travel to face Miami FC on Sunday 3 May in the USL Championship, with Riccardo Silva Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Brooklyn are 12th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Miami FC, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Naples, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Brooklyn, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sacramento Republic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Miami FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Brooklyn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 1.9 xG, Brooklyn 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 50%, draw 22%, Brooklyn 28%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Miami FC to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 1–1 Brooklyn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miami FC50%fair 1.99 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.40
Brooklyn28%fair 3.62 · @2.95
3.08Expected goals
1.88Miami FC xG
1.20Brooklyn xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Miami FC 1.9 – 1.2 Brooklyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Miami FC
Brooklyn
Attack vs USL Championship average
+3%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+60%
Our expected goals here
2.48
1.36
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miami FC to win✓
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Draw no bet
Miami FC (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Brooklyn +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Miami FC to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Miami FC ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Miami FC – last 6
WWLDWW
30 Apr
vs Naples
4–1
W
26 Apr
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ San Antonio
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Rhode Island
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Sporting JAX
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brooklyn – last 5
DWLLL
22 Apr
vs Sacramento Republic
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Louisville City
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Lexington
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Brooklyn.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Miami FC vs Brooklyn?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brooklyn 28%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Brooklyn?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Brooklyn?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Brooklyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Brooklyn?
Miami FC vs Brooklyn (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Phoenix Rising1
San Antonio3
Colorado Springs3
Sacramento Republic3
Orange County SC2
Las Vegas Lights2
Lexington1