Double chancePittsburgh Riverhounds or draw ✗76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pittsburgh Riverhounds welcome Phoenix Rising to Highmark Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 3 May (00:00 WAT). In the table, Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Greenville Triumph, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Phoenix Rising, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colorado Springs, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pittsburgh Riverhounds, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Phoenix Rising.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.5 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 50%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising 24%.
Lower-risk option: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw (76%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds50%fair 2.00 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Phoenix Rising24%fair 4.21 · @3.90
2.53Expected goals
1.51Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
1.02Phoenix Rising xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.5 – 1.0 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Phoenix Rising
Attack vs USL Championship average
-24%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.96
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Double chance
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw✗
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.83
Draw no bet
Pittsburgh Riverhounds (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Phoenix Rising +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WWLDWW
26 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Virginia Dream
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Sporting JAX
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Phoenix Rising – last 6
LWLWLD
26 Apr
vs Colorado Springs
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Miami FC
3–0
W
16 Apr
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs New Mexico United
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sacramento Republic
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Orange County SC
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Phoenix Rising.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Phoenix Rising 24%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Antonio3
Colorado Springs3
Sacramento Republic3
Orange County SC2
Las Vegas Lights2
Lexington1