Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the USL Championship brings Rhode Island against Birmingham Legion at Centreville Bank Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Rhode Island are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 30 matches; Birmingham Legion are 11th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rhode Island, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hartford Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Birmingham Legion, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Charleston Battery, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rhode Island, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Birmingham Legion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rhode Island 1.8 xG, Birmingham Legion 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rhode Island 58%, draw 23%, Birmingham Legion 19%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhode Island 1–1 Birmingham Legion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rhode Island58%fair 1.74 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.70
Birmingham Legion19%fair 5.23 · @4.80
2.70Expected goals
1.75Rhode Island xG
0.94Birmingham Legion xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.8 – 0.9 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rhode Island
Birmingham Legion
Attack vs USL Championship average
-7%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.63
0.93
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rhode Island to win✗
58%
1.74
1.60
Double chance
Rhode Island or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.77
Draw no bet
Rhode Island (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham Legion +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Rhode Island to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Rhode Island – last 6
DWWWLW
26 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Lexington
3–1
W
2 Apr
vs Hartford Athletic
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Miami FC
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Faialense
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion – last 3
LDL
22 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
2–3
L
11 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Birmingham Legion.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Birmingham Legion 19%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–1 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Phoenix Rising1
San Antonio3
Colorado Springs3
Sacramento Republic3
Orange County SC2
Las Vegas Lights2
Lexington1