El Paso Locomotive 42%Draw 24%Lexington 34%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.50
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: El Paso Locomotive v Lexington in the USL Championship, played at Southwest University Park. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Lexington are 4th (among the top four) with 48. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Alta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Lexington, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Indy Eleven, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.7 xG, Lexington 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 42%, draw 24%, Lexington 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Lexington34%fair 2.98 · @3.00
3.16Expected goals
1.66El Paso Locomotive xG
1.50Lexington xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.7 – 1.5 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Paso Locomotive
Lexington
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-0%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.58
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✗
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Draw no bet
El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Lexington +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
El Paso Locomotive to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WLDLWL
28 May
vs Alta
2–0
W
10 May
@ Oakland Roots
1–2
L
7 May
@ New Mexico United
2–2
D
30 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
1–4
L
26 Apr
@ Orange County SC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs San Antonio
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lexington – last 6
LWLWDL
24 May
@ Indy Eleven
1–3
L
9 May
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
3 May
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Forward Madison
4–2
W
19 Apr
@ Orange County SC
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Rhode Island
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Lexington.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lexington 34%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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