Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 31 May the USL Championship brings Hartford Athletic against New Mexico United at Trinity Health Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Hartford Athletic are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; New Mexico United are 1st (leading the league) with 52.
Current form
Hartford Athletic, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Tulsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
New Mexico United, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Charleston Battery, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 1.4 xG, New Mexico United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 46%, draw 25%, New Mexico United 29%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 1–1 New Mexico United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartford Athletic46%fair 2.17 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
New Mexico United29%fair 3.48 · @3.55
2.64Expected goals
1.39Hartford Athletic xG
1.25New Mexico United xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.4 – 1.2 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hartford Athletic
New Mexico United
Attack vs USL Championship average
+6%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.46
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartford Athletic to win✗
46%
2.17
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
Hartford Athletic (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
New Mexico United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Hartford Athletic to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Hartford Athletic – last 6
LWWDDL
23 May
@ FC Tulsa
0–2
L
17 May
@ Brooklyn
2–0
W
10 May
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Rhode Island
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Loudoun United
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs El Paso Locomotive
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
New Mexico United – last 6
WLLWDW
24 May
vs Charleston Battery
1–0
W
21 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
17 May
@ Colorado Springs
0–4
L
10 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–1
W
7 May
vs El Paso Locomotive
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Alta
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartford Athletic and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and New Mexico United 29%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oakland Roots0
Colorado Springs1
El Paso Locomotive1
Lexington4
Monterey Bay4
Las Vegas Lights0
FC Tulsa0
Phoenix Rising2
Sacramento Republic0