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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Indy Eleven v Rhode Island: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Michael A. Carroll Stadium

Indy Eleven

WWLLW
1–0
FT

Rhode Island

WDLDW
Indy Eleven 34%Draw 26%Rhode Island 39% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.41
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRhode Island to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rhode Island travel to face Indy Eleven on Sunday 31 May in the USL Championship, with Michael A. Carroll Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Rhode Island are 7th (upper half) with 42.

Current form

Indy Eleven, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lexington, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Rhode Island, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Brooklyn, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.2 xG, Rhode Island 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 34%, draw 26%, Rhode Island 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–1 Rhode Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Indy Eleven34%fair 2.91 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.45
Rhode Island39%fair 2.54 · @2.40
2.65Expected goals
1.23Indy Eleven xG
1.41Rhode Island xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.2 – 1.4 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Indy ElevenRhode Island
Attack vs USL Championship average-20%-7%
Goals conceded vs average+4%-21%
Our expected goals here0.951.19

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRhode Island to win ✗39%2.542.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.55
Draw no betRhode Island (draw no bet) ✗53%1.87–
Asian handicapIndy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreRhode Island to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Indy Eleven – last 6

WWLLWD
24 Mayvs Lexington3–1W
10 Mayvs Sporting JAX2–1W
3 May@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–1L
26 Aprvs Union Omaha1–2L
12 Aprvs Monterey Bay3–1W
5 Aprvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rhode Island – last 6

WDLDWW
24 Mayvs Brooklyn4–1W
10 Mayvs Tampa Bay Rowdies1–1D
3 Mayvs Birmingham Legion1–3L
26 Apr@ Hartford Athletic0–0D
23 Aprvs Charleston Battery4–0W
12 Apr@ Lexington3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Rhode Island.

Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub
FT Hartford Athletic0 New Mexico United0 146%1.85X25%3.50229%3.55 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗
FT Louisville City0 Tampa Bay Rowdies2 147%1.85X25%3.50228%3.55 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds2 Miami FC0 153%1.67X25%3.65222%4.40 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Oakland Roots0 Colorado Springs1 139%2.38X25%3.50236%2.55 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT El Paso Locomotive1 Lexington4 142%2.15X24%3.40234%3.00 1.7–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Monterey Bay4 Loudoun United1 139%2.35X25%3.45236%2.60 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Las Vegas Lights0 FC Tulsa0 136%2.50X26%3.30238%2.50 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Phoenix Rising2 Sacramento Republic0 133%2.85X26%3.20241%2.33 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?

On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rhode Island 39%.

How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?

Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?

Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.