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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Phoenix Rising v Sacramento Republic: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Wild Horse Pass Stadium

Phoenix Rising

LWDWL
2–0
FT

Sacramento Republic

LWWWD
Phoenix Rising 33%Draw 26%Sacramento Republic 41% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.39
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗41% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:30 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Phoenix Rising v Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship, played at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. In the table, Phoenix Rising are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Sacramento Republic are 2nd (among the top four) with 51.

Current form

Phoenix Rising, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tampa Bay Rowdies, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sacramento Republic, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Antonio, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Sacramento Republic 2–0 Phoenix Rising.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.2 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 33%, draw 26%, Sacramento Republic 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Phoenix Rising33%fair 3.03 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Sacramento Republic41%fair 2.42 · @2.33
2.57Expected goals
1.18Phoenix Rising xG
1.39Sacramento Republic xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.2 – 1.4 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
Attack vs USL Championship average+15%+11%
Goals conceded vs average+14%-27%
Our expected goals here1.261.53

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✗41%2.422.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.83
Draw no betSacramento Republic (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapPhoenix Rising +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreSacramento Republic to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

Phoenix Rising – last 6

LWDWLW
24 May@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–3L
17 Mayvs Orange County SC2–1W
10 Mayvs San Antonio1–1D
3 May@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0W
26 Aprvs Colorado Springs0–1L
19 Apr@ Miami FC3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 6

LWWWDD
24 May@ San Antonio1–2L
17 May@ Oakland Roots1–0W
3 Mayvs Orange County SC3–2W
26 Aprvs Spokane Velocity4–0W
22 Apr@ Brooklyn1–1D
12 Apr@ Las Vegas Lights1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Sacramento Republic v Phoenix Rising2–0
Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub
FT Hartford Athletic0 New Mexico United0 146%1.85X25%3.50229%3.55 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗
FT Indy Eleven1 Rhode Island0 134%2.55X26%3.45239%2.40 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗
FT Louisville City0 Tampa Bay Rowdies2 147%1.85X25%3.50228%3.55 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds2 Miami FC0 153%1.67X25%3.65222%4.40 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Oakland Roots0 Colorado Springs1 139%2.38X25%3.50236%2.55 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT El Paso Locomotive1 Lexington4 142%2.15X24%3.40234%3.00 1.7–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Monterey Bay4 Loudoun United1 139%2.35X25%3.45236%2.60 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Las Vegas Lights0 FC Tulsa0 136%2.50X26%3.30238%2.50 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sacramento Republic 41%.

How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.