Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Monterey Bay v Loudoun United in the USL Championship, played at Cardinale Stadium. In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Loudoun United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 31.
Current form
Monterey Bay, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Birmingham Legion, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Loudoun United, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brooklyn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.4 xG, Loudoun United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 39%, draw 25%, Loudoun United 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 1–1 Loudoun United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterey Bay39%fair 2.56 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.45
Loudoun United36%fair 2.75 · @2.60
2.74Expected goals
1.41Monterey Bay xG
1.33Loudoun United xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.4 – 1.3 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterey Bay
Loudoun United
Attack vs USL Championship average
-12%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.32
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterey Bay to win✓
39%
2.56
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Draw no bet
Monterey Bay (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Loudoun United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Monterey Bay to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterey Bay / FT Monterey Bay✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Monterey Bay – last 6
WLLLLD
24 May
vs Birmingham Legion
2–0
W
17 May
@ Boise
3–4
L
9 May
@ Lexington
1–3
L
4 May
vs FC Tulsa
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs San Antonio
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
WLDDLL
10 May
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Louisville City
3–3
D
1 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterey Bay and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Loudoun United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United?
Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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