Birmingham Legion 52%Draw 24%Loudoun United 25%Expected goals 1.68 – 1.21
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗52% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Birmingham Legion welcome Loudoun United to Protective Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 21 June (01:00 WAT). In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; Loudoun United are 10th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Birmingham Legion, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oakland Roots, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Loudoun United, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Rhode Island, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 1.7 xG, Loudoun United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 52%, draw 24%, Loudoun United 25%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Loudoun United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham Legion52%fair 1.93 · @1.68
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.80
Loudoun United25%fair 4.06 · @4.10
2.89Expected goals
1.68Birmingham Legion xG
1.21Loudoun United xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.7 – 1.2 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Birmingham Legion
Loudoun United
Attack vs USL Championship average
-2%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.36
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
52%
1.93
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
Birmingham Legion (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Loudoun United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Birmingham Legion to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Birmingham Legion – last 6
DLWDLD
17 Jun
@ Oakland Roots
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–2
L
10 Jun
vs Corpus Christi
3–0
W
4 Jun
vs Louisville City
1–1
D
24 May
@ Monterey Bay
0–2
L
8 May
vs Miami FC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
LLWLWL
13 Jun
vs Rhode Island
1–4
L
11 Jun
@ Greenville Triumph
1–3
L
6 Jun
vs Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
31 May
@ Monterey Bay
1–4
L
10 May
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Loudoun United 25%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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