Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monterey Bay welcome El Paso Locomotive to Cardinale Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 21 June (03:00 WAT). In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Monterey Bay, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Tulsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Phoenix Rising, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Monterey Bay, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for El Paso Locomotive.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Monterey Bay 0–3 El Paso Locomotive.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.4 xG, El Paso Locomotive 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 34%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 42%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterey Bay34%fair 2.95 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.65
El Paso Locomotive42%fair 2.37 · @2.30
2.98Expected goals
1.36Monterey Bay xG
1.62El Paso Locomotive xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.4 – 1.6 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterey Bay
El Paso Locomotive
Attack vs USL Championship average
-12%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.52
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and El Paso Locomotive 42%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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