Brooklyn 18%Draw 21%Tampa Bay Rowdies 62%Expected goals 0.96 – 2.00
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓62% · @1.55
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Brooklyn vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tampa Bay Rowdies travel to face Brooklyn on Sunday 21 June in the USL Championship, with Maimonides Park the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Brooklyn are 12th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Brooklyn, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Louisville City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hartford Athletic, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Brooklyn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brooklyn 1.0 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brooklyn 18%, draw 21%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 62%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brooklyn 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brooklyn18%fair 5.68 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
Tampa Bay Rowdies62%fair 1.62 · @1.55
2.95Expected goals
0.96Brooklyn xG
2.00Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–110%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Brooklyn 1.0 – 2.0 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Brooklyn
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack vs USL Championship average
-7%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+60%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.05
2.17
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Double chance
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Tampa Bay Rowdies -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Tampa Bay Rowdies ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Brooklyn – last 6
DWLLLL
14 Jun
@ Louisville City
2–2
D
7 Jun
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
5–1
W
24 May
@ Rhode Island
1–4
L
17 May
vs Hartford Athletic
0–2
L
10 May
vs Loudoun United
0–1
L
3 May
@ Miami FC
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
LDWWWW
14 Jun
vs Hartford Athletic
0–1
L
11 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–2
D
7 Jun
@ Sporting JAX
2–0
W
31 May
@ Louisville City
2–0
W
24 May
vs Phoenix Rising
3–0
W
21 May
@ New Mexico United
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brooklyn and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for Brooklyn vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Brooklyn vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Brooklyn have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 62%.
How many goals will there be in Brooklyn vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brooklyn vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Brooklyn 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Brooklyn vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Brooklyn vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Maimonides Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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