Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orange County SC travel to face Las Vegas Lights on Sunday 21 June in the USL Championship, with Cashman Field the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, Las Vegas Lights are 11th, in the drop zone, on 36 points after 30 matches; Orange County SC are 9th (lower half) with 39. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Birmingham Legion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Orange County SC, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with New Mexico United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Orange County SC 1–1 Las Vegas Lights.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Vegas Lights 1.7 xG, Orange County SC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Vegas Lights 47%, draw 24%, Orange County SC 29%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Orange County SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Vegas Lights47%fair 2.13 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
Orange County SC29%fair 3.40 · @3.00
2.93Expected goals
1.70Las Vegas Lights xG
1.23Orange County SC xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.7 – 1.2 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Las Vegas Lights
Orange County SC
Attack vs USL Championship average
-1%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+30%
Our expected goals here
1.95
1.30
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orange County SC 29%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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