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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartford Athletic v Pittsburgh Riverhounds: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Trinity Health Stadium
Hartford Athletic 39%Draw 28%Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultHartford Athletic to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.70

Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 21 June: Hartford Athletic v Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship, played at Trinity Health Stadium. In the table, Hartford Athletic are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th (upper half) with 45. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hartford Athletic, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tampa Bay Rowdies, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Indy Eleven, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 1.2 xG, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 39%, draw 28%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartford Athletic39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.20
Pittsburgh Riverhounds33%fair 3.01 · @2.95
2.20Expected goals
1.18Hartford Athletic xG
1.02Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.2 – 1.0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Hartford AthleticPittsburgh Riverhounds
Attack vs USL Championship average+6%-24%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-31%
Our expected goals here1.100.90

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHartford Athletic to win ✗39%2.562.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.80
Draw no betHartford Athletic (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapPittsburgh Riverhounds +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.711.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreHartford Athletic to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.70–

Recent results

Hartford Athletic – last 6

WWDLWW
14 Jun@ Tampa Bay Rowdies1–0W
7 Jun@ NY Cosmos4–1W
31 Mayvs New Mexico United0–0D
23 May@ FC Tulsa0–2L
17 May@ Brooklyn2–0W
10 Mayvs Detroit City2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6

WWWLWW
14 Junvs Indy Eleven1–0W
31 Mayvs Miami FC2–0W
10 May@ Louisville City2–0W
3 Mayvs Phoenix Rising0–1L
26 Aprvs Greenville Triumph3–0W
19 Aprvs Detroit City2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hartford Athletic and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33%.

How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.