Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Detroit City welcome Las Vegas Lights to Keyworth Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 26 July (00:00 WAT). In the table, Detroit City are 3rd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 11th (in the drop zone) with 36. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Detroit City, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Indy Eleven, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Las Vegas Lights, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Antonio, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Detroit City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Las Vegas Lights.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Detroit City 1.7 xG, Las Vegas Lights 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Detroit City 58%, draw 26%, Las Vegas Lights 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Detroit City 1–0 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Detroit City58%fair 1.74 · @1.55
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.75
Las Vegas Lights16%fair 6.10 · @5.25
2.56Expected goals
1.69Detroit City xG
0.87Las Vegas Lights xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Detroit City 1.7 – 0.9 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Detroit City
Las Vegas Lights
Attack vs USL Championship average
-20%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.33
0.76
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Detroit City to win✗
58%
1.74
1.55
Double chance
Detroit City or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Detroit City (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Las Vegas Lights +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Detroit City to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Detroit City / FT Detroit City✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Detroit City – last 6
WWWDWD
19 Jul
vs Indy Eleven
2–0
W
12 Jul
@ Fort Wayne
2–1
W
3 Jul
@ Birmingham Legion
2–1
W
20 Jun
vs Louisville City
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Sporting JAX
6–2
W
11 Jun
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
WWLLWL
19 Jul
@ San Antonio
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Monterey Bay
3–2
W
5 Jul
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Oakland Roots
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Detroit City and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Detroit City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Las Vegas Lights 16%.
How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Detroit City 1–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights?
Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Antonio1
FC Tulsa0
Lexington0
Colorado Springs2
El Paso Locomotive2
Monterey Bay1
Orange County SC2