Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Miami FC v Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship, played at Riccardo Silva Stadium. In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Miami FC, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Colorado Springs, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Loudoun United, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Miami FC 1–4 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 1.0 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 21%, draw 24%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 56%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miami FC21%fair 4.85 · @4.80
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.75
Tampa Bay Rowdies56%fair 1.80 · @1.60
2.71Expected goals
1.03Miami FC xG
1.68Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Miami FC 1.0 – 1.7 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Miami FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack vs USL Championship average
+3%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.63
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 56%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Antonio1
Las Vegas Lights1
FC Tulsa0
Lexington0
Colorado Springs2
El Paso Locomotive2
Monterey Bay1
Orange County SC2