Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Loudoun United travel to face Indy Eleven on Sunday 26 July in the USL Championship, with Michael A. Carroll Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Loudoun United are 10th (lower half) with 31. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Indy Eleven, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Detroit City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Loudoun United, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tampa Bay Rowdies, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Indy Eleven, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Loudoun United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.6 xG, Loudoun United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 50%, draw 25%, Loudoun United 25%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–1 Loudoun United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven50%fair 2.00 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.80
Loudoun United25%fair 3.97 · @4.20
2.74Expected goals
1.56Indy Eleven xG
1.18Loudoun United xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.6 – 1.2 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Indy Eleven
Loudoun United
Attack vs USL Championship average
-20%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.22
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
50%
2.00
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.60
Draw no bet
Indy Eleven (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Loudoun United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Indy Eleven to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Indy Eleven – last 6
LLWDLW
19 Jul
@ Detroit City
0–2
L
16 Jul
@ Miami FC
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Charleston Battery
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Lexington
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Forward Madison
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
DLDLDL
19 Jul
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Sporting JAX
2–2
D
25 Jun
@ Charleston Battery
1–4
L
21 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Rhode Island
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Loudoun United 25%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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