Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the USL Championship brings Monterey Bay against Orange County SC at Cardinale Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Orange County SC are 9th (lower half) with 39. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Monterey Bay, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Phoenix Rising, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Orange County SC, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Colorado Springs, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.6 xG, Orange County SC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 44%, draw 25%, Orange County SC 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 1–1 Orange County SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterey Bay44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.30
Orange County SC32%fair 3.17 · @3.00
2.81Expected goals
1.56Monterey Bay xG
1.25Orange County SC xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.6 – 1.2 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterey Bay
Orange County SC
Attack vs USL Championship average
-12%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+30%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.32
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterey Bay to win✗
44%
2.28
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
Monterey Bay (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Orange County SC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Monterey Bay to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterey Bay / FT Monterey Bay✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Monterey Bay – last 6
LLDWLW
19 Jul
@ Phoenix Rising
2–3
L
12 Jul
vs Las Vegas Lights
2–3
L
5 Jul
@ San Antonio
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ FC Tulsa
0–2
L
11 Jun
vs Sporting JAX
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Orange County SC – last 6
LDDWWD
12 Jul
vs Colorado Springs
0–3
L
9 Jul
@ Hartford Athletic
2–2
D
5 Jul
@ Rhode Island
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ Miami FC
4–2
W
21 Jun
@ Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
14 Jun
@ New Mexico United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterey Bay and Orange County SC.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Orange County SC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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