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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Tulsa v Lexington: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · ONEOK Field

FC Tulsa

WLLWL
0–0
FT

Lexington

WLLWD
FC Tulsa 35%Draw 25%Lexington 40% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.38
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLexington to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73

FC Tulsa vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Tulsa welcome Lexington to ONEOK Field for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 26 July (01:30 WAT). In the table, FC Tulsa are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Lexington are 4th (among the top four) with 48.

Current form

FC Tulsa, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over El Paso Locomotive, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Lexington, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Oakland Roots, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lexington, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for FC Tulsa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Tulsa 1.3 xG, Lexington 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tulsa 35%, draw 25%, Lexington 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tulsa 1–1 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Tulsa35%fair 2.86 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.35
Lexington40%fair 2.52 · @2.45
2.67Expected goals
1.29FC Tulsa xG
1.38Lexington xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.3 – 1.4 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FC TulsaLexington
Attack vs USL Championship average-15%+45%
Goals conceded vs average-22%-0%
Our expected goals here1.281.37

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLexington to win ✗40%2.522.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.67
Draw no betLexington (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapFC Tulsa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreLexington to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lexington / FT Lexington ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

FC Tulsa – last 6

WLLWLL
19 Julvs El Paso Locomotive1–0W
12 Jul@ Birmingham Legion1–3L
21 Junvs Colorado Springs1–2L
18 Junvs Monterey Bay2–0W
14 Jun@ Charleston Battery1–5L
7 Junvs San Antonio1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lexington – last 6

WLLWDW
23 Julvs Oakland Roots2–0W
16 Julvs New Mexico United1–4L
12 Jul@ Louisville City2–4L
4 Jul@ Tampa Bay Rowdies4–1W
21 Junvs Indy Eleven0–0D
14 Junvs San Antonio2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Tulsa and Lexington.

FC Tulsa vs Lexington head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub
FT Brooklyn0 San Antonio1 135%2.38X25%3.30240%2.65 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Detroit City0 Las Vegas Lights1 158%1.55X26%3.75216%5.25 1.7–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.42 ✓
FT Indy Eleven0 Loudoun United1 150%1.68X25%3.80225%4.20 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Miami FC2 Tampa Bay Rowdies3 121%4.80X24%3.75256%1.60 1.0–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds0 Rhode Island1 137%2.65X30%3.10234%2.50 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Colorado Springs2 Charleston Battery1 147%1.95X23%3.55230%3.25 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT El Paso Locomotive2 Sporting JAX0 171%1.44X18%4.40211%5.60 2.7–0.9xG 1El Paso Locomotive to win 71%@1.44 ✓
FT Monterey Bay1 Orange County SC2 144%2.15X25%3.30232%3.00 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Lexington?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FC Tulsa vs Lexington?

On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lexington 40%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Lexington?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Lexington?

Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FC Tulsa vs Lexington?

FC Tulsa vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.