Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting JAX travel to face El Paso Locomotive on Sunday 26 July in the USL Championship, with Southwest University Park the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Sporting JAX are 13th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Tulsa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sporting JAX, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Brooklyn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 2.7 xG, Sporting JAX 0.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 71%, draw 18%, Sporting JAX 11%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was El Paso Locomotive to win (71%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Sporting JAX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive71%fair 1.42 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.40
Sporting JAX11%fair 9.06 · @5.60
3.57Expected goals
2.66El Paso Locomotive xG
0.91Sporting JAX xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 2.7 – 0.9 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Paso Locomotive
Sporting JAX
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+74%
Our expected goals here
2.90
0.84
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✓
71%
1.42
1.44
Double chance
El Paso Locomotive or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Draw no bet
El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
El Paso Locomotive -1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
First team to score
El Paso Locomotive to score first✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
El Paso Locomotive ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✓
51%
1.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
LLWLDD
19 Jul
@ FC Tulsa
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs New Mexico United
0–2
L
5 Jul
@ Las Vegas Lights
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Monterey Bay
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Phoenix Rising
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Detroit City
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 6
DWLDLL
19 Jul
vs Brooklyn
2–2
D
16 Jul
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Austin
0–4
L
4 Jul
@ Loudoun United
2–2
D
21 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–5
L
14 Jun
vs Detroit City
2–6
L
1.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is El Paso Locomotive to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting JAX 11%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX?
El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Antonio1
Las Vegas Lights1
FC Tulsa0
Lexington0
Colorado Springs2
Monterey Bay1
Orange County SC2