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Oakland Roots v Sacramento Republic: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Laney College Football Stadium
Oakland Roots 35%Draw 26%Sacramento Republic 39% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.33
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.80

Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Oakland Roots v Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship, played at Laney College Football Stadium. In the table, Oakland Roots are 10th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 30 matches; Sacramento Republic are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Oakland Roots, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lexington, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Sacramento Republic, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Charleston Battery, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Oakland Roots 0–1 Sacramento Republic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oakland Roots 1.2 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oakland Roots 35%, draw 26%, Sacramento Republic 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oakland Roots 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oakland Roots35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.30
Sacramento Republic39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
2.52Expected goals
1.19Oakland Roots xG
1.33Sacramento Republic xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Oakland Roots 1.2 – 1.3 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Oakland RootsSacramento Republic
Attack vs USL Championship average-2%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-6%-27%
Our expected goals here1.081.27

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✓39%2.552.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.67
Draw no betSacramento Republic (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapOakland Roots +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreSacramento Republic to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.80–

Recent results

Oakland Roots – last 6

LLLWDD
23 Jul@ Lexington0–2L
11 Julvs Spokane Velocity1–3L
5 Jul@ New Mexico United1–2L
21 Jun@ Phoenix Rising4–3W
17 Junvs Birmingham Legion1–1D
14 Junvs Miami FC0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 6

DLWLWL
19 Jul@ Charleston Battery1–1D
12 Jul@ Boise0–2L
9 Julvs Rhode Island2–1W
21 Junvs New Mexico United0–1L
14 Jun@ Colorado Springs1–0W
31 May@ Phoenix Rising0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Oakland Roots v Sacramento Republic0–1
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

On our numbers Oakland Roots have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sacramento Republic 39%.

How many goals will there be in Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

Our predicted score is Oakland Roots 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Laney College Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.