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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartford Athletic v Rhode Island: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Trinity Health Stadium
2–1
FT
Hartford Athletic 35%Draw 24%Rhode Island 41% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.24
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Rhode Island to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRhode Island to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.32

Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Hartford Athletic v Rhode Island in the USL Championship, played at Trinity Health Stadium. In the table, Hartford Athletic are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Rhode Island are 7th (upper half) with 42. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hartford Athletic, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Brooklyn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Rhode Island, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pittsburgh Riverhounds, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rhode Island, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Hartford Athletic.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Rhode Island 1–0 Hartford Athletic. The last 3 head-to-heads: Hartford Athletic 0 wins, Rhode Island 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 1.1 xG, Rhode Island 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 35%, draw 24%, Rhode Island 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Rhode Island to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 1–1 Rhode Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartford Athletic35%fair 2.85 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Rhode Island41%fair 2.46 · @2.70
2.36Expected goals
1.12Hartford Athletic xG
1.24Rhode Island xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.1 – 1.2 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRhode Island to win ✗41%2.462.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.73
Draw no betRhode Island (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapHartford Athletic +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreRhode Island to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island ✗22%4.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.32–

Recent results

Hartford Athletic – last 6

LDLLDD
18 Octvs Brooklyn2–3L
15 Octvs Charleston Battery1–1D
11 Oct@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–2L
4 Octvs Louisville City0–1L
26 Sepvs Louisville City2–2D
20 Sep@ Las Vegas Lights1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rhode Island – last 6

DWLWWL
18 Octvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–1D
15 Octvs Loudoun United1–0W
11 Oct@ Detroit City0–1L
4 Oct@ Brooklyn3–1W
1 Octvs Indy Eleven1–0W
27 Sep@ Charleston Battery0–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026Rhode Island v Hartford Athletic1–0
26 Apr 2026Hartford Athletic v Rhode Island0–0
2 Apr 2026Rhode Island v Hartford Athletic2–0
Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rhode Island 41%.

How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.