Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✓56% · @1.75
Double chancePittsburgh Riverhounds or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.61
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Birmingham Legion travel to face Pittsburgh Riverhounds on Sunday 25 October in the USL Championship, with Highmark Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Birmingham Legion are 11th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rhode Island, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Birmingham Legion, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brooklyn, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.6 xG, Birmingham Legion 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 56%, draw 22%, Birmingham Legion 22%.
Lower-risk option: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 Birmingham Legion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds56%fair 1.77 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.20
Birmingham Legion22%fair 4.62 · @4.20
2.47Expected goals
1.61Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
0.86Birmingham Legion xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.6 – 0.9 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Double chance
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Draw no bet
Pittsburgh Riverhounds (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham Legion +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
DWLLWD
18 Oct
@ Rhode Island
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Hartford Athletic
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Orange County SC
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Detroit City
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Loudoun United
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Miami FC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion – last 6
WDWLWL
21 Oct
@ Brooklyn
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Loudoun United
0–0
D
15 Oct
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Detroit City
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Brooklyn
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Birmingham Legion.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Birmingham Legion 22%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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