Monterey Bay v Las Vegas Lights: numbers & prediction

Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the USL Championship brings Monterey Bay against Las Vegas Lights at Cardinale Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 11th (in the drop zone) with 36. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Monterey Bay, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colorado Springs, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Las Vegas Lights, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Lexington, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Las Vegas Lights, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Monterey Bay.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Monterey Bay 2–3 Las Vegas Lights. The last 2 head-to-heads: Monterey Bay 0 wins, Las Vegas Lights 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.4 xG, Las Vegas Lights 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 65%.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 36%, draw 21%, Las Vegas Lights 43%.
• GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.