Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the USL Championship brings Tampa Bay Rowdies against Sporting JAX at Al Lang Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Sporting JAX are 13th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Detroit City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting JAX, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Louisville City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Sporting JAX.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Sporting JAX 0–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 wins, Sporting JAX 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.4 xG, Sporting JAX 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 73%, draw 17%, Sporting JAX 10%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Sporting JAX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies73%fair 1.37 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @8.00
Sporting JAX10%fair 10.08 · @15.00
3.17Expected goals
2.39Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.78Sporting JAX xG
49%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.4 – 0.8 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sporting JAX 10%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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