Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Lexington to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Phoenix Rising vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Phoenix Rising welcome Lexington to Wild Horse Pass Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 25 October (03:00 WAT). In the table, Phoenix Rising are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Lexington are 4th (among the top four) with 48.
Current form
Phoenix Rising, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Orange County SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Lexington, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Las Vegas Lights, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Lexington, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Phoenix Rising.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Lexington 1–0 Phoenix Rising.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.5 xG, Lexington 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 40%, draw 21%, Lexington 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Lexington to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–1 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Phoenix Rising40%fair 2.51 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Lexington39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
3.02Expected goals
1.52Phoenix Rising xG
1.50Lexington xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.5 – 1.5 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lexington 39%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?
Phoenix Rising vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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