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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Agropecuario v Nueva Chicago: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Ofelia Rosenzuaig

Nueva Chicago

Agropecuario 53%Draw 29%Nueva Chicago 18% Expected goals 1.16 – 0.51

72%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating

1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultAgropecuario to win ✗53% · @1.77

Double chanceAgropecuario or draw ✗82% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.45

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.58

Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 March the Primera Nacional brings Agropecuario against Nueva Chicago at Ofelia Rosenzuaig. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Agropecuario are 12th, lower half, on 46 points after 36 matches; Nueva Chicago are 17th (in the drop zone) with 37.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Agropecuario 1.2 xG, Nueva Chicago 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Agropecuario 53%, draw 29%, Nueva Chicago 18%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Agropecuario 1–0 Nueva Chicago. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Agropecuario53%fair 1.87 · @1.77

Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.90

Nueva Chicago18%fair 5.66 · @5.20

1.67Expected goals

1.16Agropecuario xG

0.51Nueva Chicago xG

45%Both score

28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%

0–019%

2–013%

1–111%

0–110%

2–16%

From our goals model: Agropecuario 1.2 – 0.5 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Agropecuario	Nueva Chicago
Attack vs Primera Nacional average	-9%	-32%
Goals conceded vs average	+0%	+7%
Our expected goals here	1.19	0.53

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Agropecuario to win ✗	53%	1.87	1.77
Double chance	Agropecuario or draw ✗	82%	1.21	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.45
Draw no bet	Agropecuario (draw no bet) ✗	75%	1.33	–
Asian handicap	Nueva Chicago +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	54%	1.87	1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Agropecuario to score first ✗	56%	1.78	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	54%	1.86	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Agropecuario / FT Agropecuario ✗	30%	3.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	22%	4.58	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Agropecuario and Nueva Chicago.

Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub

Colon Santa Fe1

Ferro Carril Oeste1 146%2.45X30%2.55223%3.35 1.2–0.6xG 1XColon Santa Fe or draw 77%@1.22 ✓

–

All Boys0

Ciudad de Bolívar0 151%1.85X33%2.85216%4.75 1.3–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.33

–

Club Atlético Güemes0

Chacarita Juniors1 135%2.25X32%2.60234%3.70 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.35

–

Deportivo Moron0

Central Norte0 155%1.80X29%2.80216%5.40 1.2–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 75%@1.25

–

Gimnasia Jujuy1

Quilmes0 153%1.80X28%2.88219%5.00 1.3–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.36

–

Godoy Cruz0

Deportivo Madryn0 154%1.77X25%3.10221%4.80 1.5–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.57

–

Los Andes

Defensores De Belgrano 137%2.75X34%2.45229%3.00 0.9–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 76%@1.28

–

San Telmo2

Acassuso0 137%2.45X32%2.65231%3.10 1.1–0.9xG 1XSan Telmo or draw 69%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago?

On our numbers Agropecuario have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Nueva Chicago 18%.

How many goals will there be in Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago?

Our predicted score is Agropecuario 1–0 Nueva Chicago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago?

Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.