San Telmo 37%Draw 32%Acassuso 31%Expected goals 1.12 – 0.93
69%
Betarazi pick
San Telmo or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.25
7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSan Telmo to win37% · @2.45
Double chanceSan Telmo or draw69% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 13.31
San Telmo vs Acassuso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Telmo welcome Acassuso to Estadio Osvaldo Baletto for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 1 March (21:00 WAT). In the table, San Telmo are 12th, lower half, on 41 points after 36 matches; Acassuso are 17th (in the drop zone) with 35.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Telmo 1.1 xG, Acassuso 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Telmo 37%, draw 32%, Acassuso 31%.
Lower-risk option: San Telmo or draw (69%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Telmo or draw (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Telmo 1–0 Acassuso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Telmo37%fair 2.72 · @2.45
Draw32%fair 3.10 · @2.65
Acassuso31%fair 3.23 · @3.10
2.05Expected goals
1.12San Telmo xG
0.93Acassuso xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Telmo 1.1 – 0.9 Acassuso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Telmo
Acassuso
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-10%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-15%
Our expected goals here
0.94
0.70
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Telmo to win
37%
2.72
2.45
Double chance
San Telmo or draw
69%
1.45
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
San Telmo (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Acassuso +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
San Telmo to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Telmo / FT San Telmo
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
13.31
–
Recent results
San Telmo – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Chaco For Ever
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Acassuso
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Telmo and Acassuso.
Our pick is San Telmo or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win San Telmo vs Acassuso?
On our numbers San Telmo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Acassuso 31%.
How many goals will there be in San Telmo vs Acassuso?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Telmo vs Acassuso?
Our predicted score is San Telmo 1–0 Acassuso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Telmo vs Acassuso?
San Telmo vs Acassuso (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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