Value bet: Colon Santa Fe to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColon Santa Fe to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceColon Santa Fe or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.32
Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro Carril Oeste: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Primera Nacional brings Colon Santa Fe against Ferro Carril Oeste. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Colon Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 60 points after 36 matches; Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd (among the top four) with 66.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colon Santa Fe 1.2 xG, Ferro Carril Oeste 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colon Santa Fe 46%, draw 30%, Ferro Carril Oeste 23%.
Lower-risk option: Colon Santa Fe or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Colon Santa Fe to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colon Santa Fe or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colon Santa Fe 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colon Santa Fe46%fair 2.16 · @2.45
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.55
Ferro Carril Oeste23%fair 4.27 · @3.35
1.89Expected goals
1.25Colon Santa Fe xG
0.64Ferro Carril Oeste xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colon Santa Fe 1.2 – 0.6 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colon Santa Fe
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+22%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.53
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colon Santa Fe to win✗
46%
2.16
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Colon Santa Fe or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.55
Draw no bet
Colon Santa Fe (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Ferro Carril Oeste +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Colon Santa Fe to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colon Santa Fe / FT Colon Santa Fe✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.32
–
Recent results
Colon Santa Fe – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Central Norte
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Madryn
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ferro Carril Oeste
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colon Santa Fe and Ferro Carril Oeste.
What is the prediction for Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our pick is Colon Santa Fe or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
On our numbers Colon Santa Fe have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Ferro Carril Oeste 23%.
How many goals will there be in Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our predicted score is Colon Santa Fe 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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