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Club Atlético Güemes v Chacarita Juniors: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda
Club Atlético Güemes 35%Draw 32%Chacarita Juniors 34% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.09
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: Chacarita Juniors to win @ 3.70 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultClub Atlético Güemes to win35% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win68% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 14.66

Club Atlético Güemes vs Chacarita Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Club Atlético Güemes v Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda. In the table, Club Atlético Güemes are 18th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 36 matches; Chacarita Juniors are 14th (lower half) with 42. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 xG, Chacarita Juniors 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Atlético Güemes 35%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Chacarita Juniors to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Atlético Güemes 1–1 Chacarita Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Atlético Güemes35%fair 2.89 · @2.25
Draw32%fair 3.17 · @2.60
Chacarita Juniors34%fair 2.95 · @3.70
2.10Expected goals
1.01Club Atlético Güemes xG
1.09Chacarita Juniors xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%

From our goals model: Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 – 1.1 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Club Atlético GüemesChacarita Juniors
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-23%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+58%-8%
Our expected goals here0.861.06

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Atlético Güemes to win35%2.892.25
Double chanceEither team to win68%1.461.38
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.982.30 ▲
Draw no betClub Atlético Güemes (draw no bet)51%1.98–
Asian handicapClub Atlético Güemes +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals59%1.701.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals67%1.491.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals94%1.07–
First team to scoreChacarita Juniors to score first46%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chacarita Juniors / FT Chacarita Juniors21%4.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17%14.66–

Recent results

Club Atlético Güemes – last 2

LL
22 Feb@ San Martin S.J.1–2L
15 Febvs Nueva Chicago0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Chacarita Juniors – last 2

WD
22 Febvs Gimnasia Jujuy3–1W
15 Febvs San Martin S.J.1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Club Atlético Güemes and Chacarita Juniors.

Club Atlético Güemes vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Atlético Güemes vs Chacarita Juniors?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Chacarita Juniors?

On our numbers Club Atlético Güemes have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Chacarita Juniors 34%.

How many goals will there be in Club Atlético Güemes vs Chacarita Juniors?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Atlético Güemes vs Chacarita Juniors?

Our predicted score is Club Atlético Güemes 1–1 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Club Atlético Güemes vs Chacarita Juniors?

Club Atlético Güemes vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.