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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gimnasia Jujuy v Quilmes: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio 23 de Agosto

Quilmes

Gimnasia Jujuy 53%Draw 28%Quilmes 19% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.80

66%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36

6/10Rating

1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia Jujuy to win53% · @1.80

Double chanceGimnasia Jujuy or draw81% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.45

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.37

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 March the Primera Nacional brings Gimnasia Jujuy against Quilmes at Estadio 23 de Agosto. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 36 matches; Quilmes are 13th (lower half) with 45. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Jujuy 1.3 xG, Quilmes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Jujuy 53%, draw 28%, Quilmes 19%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Jujuy 1–0 Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Jujuy53%fair 1.89 · @1.80

Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.88

Quilmes19%fair 5.27 · @5.00

2.15Expected goals

1.34Gimnasia Jujuy xG

0.80Quilmes xG

49%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

1–113%

0–012%

2–011%

0–19%

2–18%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Jujuy 1.3 – 0.8 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Gimnasia Jujuy	Quilmes
Attack vs Primera Nacional average	+33%	-12%
Goals conceded vs average	+47%	-16%
Our expected goals here	1.38	1.01

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gimnasia Jujuy to win	53%	1.89	1.80
Double chance	Gimnasia Jujuy or draw	81%	1.23	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	51%	1.97	1.45
Draw no bet	Gimnasia Jujuy (draw no bet)	74%	1.36	–
Asian handicap	Quilmes +1 (Asian handicap)	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	60%	1.67	1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	66%	1.51	1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	83%	1.21	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	93%	1.07	–
First team to score	Gimnasia Jujuy to score first	55%	1.81	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gimnasia Jujuy / FT Gimnasia Jujuy	29%	3.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	16%	6.37	–

Recent results

Gimnasia Jujuy – last 2

22 Feb	@ Chacarita Juniors	1–3	L
16 Feb	vs Midland	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Quilmes – last 2

22 Feb	vs Midland	0–0	D
16 Feb	@ Atlanta	0–1	L

0.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Jujuy and Quilmes.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub

Agropecuario0

Nueva Chicago2 153%1.77X29%2.90218%5.20 1.2–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 72%@1.38 ✓

Colon Santa Fe1

Ferro Carril Oeste1 146%2.45X30%2.55223%3.35 1.2–0.6xG 1XColon Santa Fe or draw 77%@1.22 ✓

–

All Boys0

Ciudad de Bolívar0 151%1.85X33%2.85216%4.75 1.3–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.33

–

Club Atlético Güemes0

Chacarita Juniors1 135%2.25X32%2.60234%3.70 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.35

–

Deportivo Moron0

Central Norte0 155%1.80X29%2.80216%5.40 1.2–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 75%@1.25

–

Godoy Cruz0

Deportivo Madryn0 154%1.77X25%3.10221%4.80 1.5–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.57

–

Los Andes

Defensores De Belgrano 137%2.75X34%2.45229%3.00 0.9–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 76%@1.28

–

San Telmo2

Acassuso0 137%2.45X32%2.65231%3.10 1.1–0.9xG 1XSan Telmo or draw 69%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes?

On our numbers Gimnasia Jujuy have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Quilmes 19%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Jujuy 1–0 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes?

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 23 de Agosto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.