Deportivo Moron v Central Norte Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Moron to win55% · @1.80

Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw84% · @1.09

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.33

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–022% · fair 4.57

Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Deportivo Moron v Central Norte in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano. In the table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Central Norte are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Moron 1.2 xG, Central Norte 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Moron 55%, draw 29%, Central Norte 16%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Central Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Moron55%fair 1.81 · @1.80

Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.80

Central Norte16%fair 6.22 · @5.40

1.68Expected goals

1.18Deportivo Moron xG

0.51Central Norte xG

44%Both score

25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%

0–019%

2–013%

1–111%

0–19%

2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.2 – 0.5 Central Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Deportivo Moron	Central Norte
Attack vs Primera Nacional average	+29%	-29%
Goals conceded vs average	+12%	-17%
Our expected goals here	1.32	0.63

Deportivo Moron

Central Norte

Attack vs Primera Nacional average

+29%

-29%

Goals conceded vs average

+12%

-17%

Our expected goals here

1.32

0.63

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Moron to win	55%	1.81	1.80
Double chance	Deportivo Moron or draw	84%	1.19	1.09
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.80	1.33
Draw no bet	Deportivo Moron (draw no bet)	77%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Central Norte +1 (Asian handicap)	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	51%	1.98	1.83
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Deportivo Moron to score first	57%	1.76	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	53%	1.87	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron	30%	3.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	22%	4.57	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Deportivo Moron to win

55%

1.81

1.80

Double chance

Deportivo Moron or draw

84%

1.19

1.09

Both teams to score

Not both teams to score

56%

1.80

1.33

Draw no bet

Deportivo Moron (draw no bet)

77%

1.29

–

Asian handicap

Central Norte +1 (Asian handicap)

67%

1.50

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

51%

1.98

1.83

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

75%

1.33

1.25

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals

91%

1.10

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals

97%

1.03

–

First team to score

Deportivo Moron to score first

57%

1.76

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time

53%

1.87

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron

30%

3.30

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–0

22%

4.57

–

Recent results

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?

On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Central Norte 16%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Central Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?

Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

22 Feb	vs Colon Santa Fe	0–0	D
13 Feb	@ San Miguel	0–1	L

Deportivo Moron v Central Norte: numbers & prediction

Deportivo Moron

Central Norte

Under 2.5 goals

Picks by market

Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Deportivo Moron – last 1

Central Norte – last 2

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

More Primera Nacional predictions

Frequently asked questions