Deportivo Maipu 56%Draw 29%Nueva Chicago 15%Expected goals 1.44 – 0.56
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Maipu to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceDeportivo Maipu or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.12
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Deportivo Maipu v Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional, played at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti. In the table, Deportivo Maipu are 6th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Nueva Chicago are 17th (in the drop zone) with 37. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Maipu, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Patronato, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nueva Chicago, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Almagro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nueva Chicago, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Deportivo Maipu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maipu 1.4 xG, Nueva Chicago 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maipu 56%, draw 29%, Nueva Chicago 15%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Maipu or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Maipu to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Nueva Chicago. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maipu56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @3.00
Nueva Chicago15%fair 6.66 · @4.33
2.00Expected goals
1.44Deportivo Maipu xG
0.56Nueva Chicago xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.4 – 0.6 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Maipu
Nueva Chicago
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+0%
-32%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.31
0.44
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maipu to win✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Maipu or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.57
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maipu (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Nueva Chicago +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Deportivo Maipu to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
5.12
–
Recent results
Deportivo Maipu – last 4
DLLW
19 Apr
@ Patronato
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Atlanta
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nueva Chicago – last 6
LDWDWW
11 May
vs Almagro
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Midland
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Atlanta
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs All Boys
0–0
D
23 Mar
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Agropecuario
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maipu and Nueva Chicago.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Nueva Chicago 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Nueva Chicago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago?
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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