Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗21% · fair 4.71
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Primera Nacional brings Quilmes against Tristan Suarez at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Quilmes, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chacarita Juniors, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Tristan Suarez, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Martin Tucuman, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 0.8 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 35%, draw 36%, Tristan Suarez 29%.
Lower-risk option: Quilmes or draw (71%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quilmes35%fair 2.85 · @2.20
Draw36%fair 2.75 · @2.65
Tristan Suarez29%fair 3.50 · @3.70
1.55Expected goals
0.77Quilmes xG
0.78Tristan Suarez xG
48%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–021%
0–117%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Quilmes 0.8 – 0.8 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-12%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-59%
Our expected goals here
0.45
0.59
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
36%
2.75
2.65
Double chance
Quilmes or draw✗
71%
1.40
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.50
Draw no bet
Quilmes (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Quilmes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Tristan Suarez to score first✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
21%
4.71
–
Recent results
Quilmes – last 5
DWWDL
5 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ San Telmo
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Patronato
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Midland
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 5
DDLWW
19 Apr
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Tristan Suarez 29%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez?
Quilmes vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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