Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Patronato v Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional. In the table, Patronato are 16th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Chacarita Juniors are 14th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Patronato, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Maipu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chacarita Juniors, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Quilmes, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Patronato 1.0 xG, Chacarita Juniors 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Patronato 41%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors 27%.
Lower-risk option: Patronato or draw (73%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Patronato or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Patronato 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Patronato41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw32%fair 3.15 · @2.75
Chacarita Juniors27%fair 3.67 · @3.35
1.80Expected goals
1.04Patronato xG
0.76Chacarita Juniors xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Patronato 1.0 – 0.8 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-15%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-8%
Our expected goals here
0.95
0.67
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Patronato to win✓
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Patronato or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Draw no bet
Patronato (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Chacarita Juniors +1 (Asian handicap)✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Patronato to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.81
–
Recent results
Patronato – last 6
DLLDLD
19 Apr
vs Deportivo Maipu
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Atlanta
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
DLLLWD
5 May
@ Quilmes
0–0
D
21 Apr
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs CA Estudiantes
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Agropecuario
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Patronato and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Patronato or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Patronato have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Chacarita Juniors 27%.
How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Patronato 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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