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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina

Atlanta

WWDWW
1–0
FT

San Martin Tucuman

WDLWL
Atlanta 45%Draw 26%San Martin Tucuman 29% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.90
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.40 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtlanta to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.52

Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Primera Nacional brings Atlanta against San Martin Tucuman. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Atlanta are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlanta, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atletico DE Rafaela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

San Martin Tucuman, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnasia Y Tiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atlanta, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for San Martin Tucuman.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended San Martin Tucuman 0–1 Atlanta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta 1.2 xG, San Martin Tucuman 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta 45%, draw 26%, San Martin Tucuman 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.40 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta 1–1 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
San Martin Tucuman29%fair 3.42 · @3.70
2.11Expected goals
1.21Atlanta xG
0.90San Martin Tucuman xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Atlanta 1.2 – 0.9 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlanta to win ✓45%2.222.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.40 ▲
Draw no betAtlanta (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapSan Martin Tucuman +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreAtlanta to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlanta / FT Atlanta ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.52–

Recent results

Atlanta – last 6

WWDWWL
4 Oct@ Atletico DE Rafaela3–2W
27 Sepvs Agropecuario1–0W
21 Sep@ Tristan Suarez0–0D
12 Sepvs Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
5 Sep@ Chacarita Juniors1–0W
30 Augvs San Martin S.J.0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

San Martin Tucuman – last 6

WDLWLD
4 Octvs Gimnasia Y Tiro1–0W
28 Sep@ Gimnasia Jujuy2–2D
19 Sep@ Atletico DE Rafaela2–4L
13 Sepvs Agropecuario3–0W
5 Sep@ Tristan Suarez0–2L
30 Augvs Club Atlético Güemes1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026San Martin Tucuman v Atlanta0–1
Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub
FT Deportivo Madryn1 Chaco For Ever2 162%1.70X23%3.20214%5.50 1.6–0.6xG 1Deportivo Madryn to win 62%@1.70 ✗
FT CA Estudiantes2 Deportivo Moron0 138%2.40X28%2.50234%3.50 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.50 ✗
FT Defensores De Belgrano0 Acassuso3 163%1.73X23%3.10214%5.00 1.3–0.4xG 1Defensores De Belgrano to win 63%@1.73 ✗
FT Gimnasia Jujuy2 Gimnasia Y Tiro2 160%1.91X23%3.10217%4.00 1.6–0.7xG 1XGimnasia Jujuy or draw 83%@1.22 ✓
FT Patronato2 Club Atlético Güemes0 165%1.50X24%3.50212%6.50 1.6–0.5xG 1Patronato to win 65%@1.50 ✓
FT Temperley2 Nueva Chicago1 163%1.75X25%3.00212%5.00 1.4–0.4xG 1Temperley to win 63%@1.75 ✓
FT Atletico Mitre0 Colon Santa Fe0 136%2.75X27%2.62237%2.88 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.30 ✗
FT Deportivo Maipu1 San Martin S.J.1 144%2.20X25%2.80231%3.40 1.2–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.15 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.40.

Who will win Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?

On our numbers Atlanta have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martin Tucuman 29%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?

Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–1 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?

Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.