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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CA Estudiantes v Deportivo Moron: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Ciudad de Caseros

CA Estudiantes

LWWWL
2–0
FT

Deportivo Moron

WLLWW
CA Estudiantes 38%Draw 28%Deportivo Moron 34% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.04
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 2.50 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultCA Estudiantes to win ✓38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.17

CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: CA Estudiantes v Deportivo Moron in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros. In the table, CA Estudiantes are 8th, upper half, on 49 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Moron are 3rd (among the top four) with 61. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CA Estudiantes, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colon Santa Fe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Deportivo Moron, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over All Boys, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Deportivo Moron 2–0 CA Estudiantes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CA Estudiantes 1.1 xG, Deportivo Moron 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CA Estudiantes 38%, draw 28%, Deportivo Moron 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.50 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA Estudiantes 1–1 Deportivo Moron. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CA Estudiantes38%fair 2.60 · @2.40
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.50
Deportivo Moron34%fair 2.97 · @3.50
2.17Expected goals
1.13CA Estudiantes xG
1.04Deportivo Moron xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: CA Estudiantes 1.1 – 1.0 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCA Estudiantes to win ✓38%2.602.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.44
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.982.50 ▲
Draw no betCA Estudiantes (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapDeportivo Moron +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreCA Estudiantes to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT CA Estudiantes / FT CA Estudiantes ✗21%4.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.17–

Recent results

CA Estudiantes – last 6

LWWWLD
3 Oct@ Colon Santa Fe0–1L
26 Sepvs San Miguel2–1W
19 Sep@ San Telmo1–0W
13 Sepvs Acassuso1–0W
6 Sep@ Chaco For Ever0–1L
30 Augvs Ferro Carril Oeste2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Moron – last 6

WLLWWW
3 Octvs All Boys2–1W
27 Sep@ Los Andes1–2L
20 Sepvs Godoy Cruz1–2L
13 Sep@ Racing Cordoba2–1W
5 Sep@ Colon Santa Fe2–1W
30 Augvs San Miguel2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Deportivo Moron v CA Estudiantes2–0
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub
FT Deportivo Madryn1 Chaco For Ever2 162%1.70X23%3.20214%5.50 1.6–0.6xG 1Deportivo Madryn to win 62%@1.70 ✗
FT Atlanta1 San Martin Tucuman0 145%2.15X26%2.80229%3.70 1.2–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.40 ✗
FT Defensores De Belgrano0 Acassuso3 163%1.73X23%3.10214%5.00 1.3–0.4xG 1Defensores De Belgrano to win 63%@1.73 ✗
FT Gimnasia Jujuy2 Gimnasia Y Tiro2 160%1.91X23%3.10217%4.00 1.6–0.7xG 1XGimnasia Jujuy or draw 83%@1.22 ✓
FT Patronato2 Club Atlético Güemes0 165%1.50X24%3.50212%6.50 1.6–0.5xG 1Patronato to win 65%@1.50 ✓
FT Temperley2 Nueva Chicago1 163%1.75X25%3.00212%5.00 1.4–0.4xG 1Temperley to win 63%@1.75 ✓
FT Atletico Mitre0 Colon Santa Fe0 136%2.75X27%2.62237%2.88 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.30 ✗
FT Deportivo Maipu1 San Martin S.J.1 144%2.20X25%2.80231%3.40 1.2–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.15 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.50.

Who will win CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?

On our numbers CA Estudiantes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Moron 34%.

How many goals will there be in CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?

Our predicted score is CA Estudiantes 1–1 Deportivo Moron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?

CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.