Deportivo Maipu v San Martin S.J. Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✗44% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.65

Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Deportivo Maipu v San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional, played at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti. In the table, Deportivo Maipu are 6th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; San Martin S.J. are 9th (upper half) with 51. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Maipu, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nueva Chicago, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

San Martin S.J., last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Almagro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maipu 1.2 xG, San Martin S.J. 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maipu 44%, draw 25%, San Martin S.J. 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maipu 1–1 San Martin S.J.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Maipu44%fair 2.28 · @2.20

Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.80

San Martin S.J.31%fair 3.20 · @3.40

2.13Expected goals

1.19Deportivo Maipu xG

0.94San Martin S.J. xG

53%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–113%

0–012%

0–111%

2–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.2 – 0.9 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Maipu to win ✗	44%	2.28	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.40 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	2.15 ▲
Draw no bet	Deportivo Maipu (draw no bet)	58%	1.71	–
Asian handicap	San Martin S.J. +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.07	–
First team to score	Deportivo Maipu to score first ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu ✗	24%	4.22	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.65	–

Deportivo Maipu – last 6

WWDDDL

5 Oct	@ Nueva Chicago	1–0	W
27 Sep	vs Temperley	1–0	W
20 Sep	vs Gimnasia Jujuy	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Almagro	2–2	D
6 Sep	vs Patronato	0–0	D
29 Aug	@ Colegiales	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

San Martin S.J. – last 6

LLWDLW

4 Oct	vs Almagro	1–2	L
27 Sep	@ Patronato	0–3	L
20 Sep	vs Colegiales	2–0	W
16 Sep	vs Tristan Suarez	0–0	D
12 Sep	@ Quilmes	0–1	L
6 Sep	vs Midland	3–2	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.

Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.?

On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Martin S.J. 31%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 1–1 San Martin S.J., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.?

Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Maipu v San Martin S.J.: numbers & prediction