Temperley v Nueva Chicago Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTemperley to win ✓63% · @1.75

Double chanceTemperley or draw ✓88% · @1.14

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.41

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Primera Nacional brings Temperley against Nueva Chicago at Estadio Alfredo Beranger. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Temperley are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Nueva Chicago are 17th (in the drop zone) with 37. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Temperley, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gimnasia Jujuy, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Nueva Chicago, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Maipu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Temperley, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Nueva Chicago.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Temperley 1.4 xG, Nueva Chicago 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Temperley 63%, draw 25%, Nueva Chicago 12%.
Lower-risk option: Temperley or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Temperley to win (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Temperley 1–0 Nueva Chicago. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Temperley63%fair 1.58 · @1.75

Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00

Nueva Chicago12%fair 8.34 · @5.00

1.83Expected goals

1.41Temperley xG

0.42Nueva Chicago xG

42%Both score

28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%

0–016%

2–016%

1–19%

3–08%

0–17%

From our goals model: Temperley 1.4 – 0.4 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Temperley to win ✓	63%	1.58	1.75 ▲
Double chance	Temperley or draw ✓	88%	1.14	1.14
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	58%	1.73	1.44
Draw no bet	Temperley (draw no bet) ✓	84%	1.19	–
Asian handicap	Temperley -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Temperley to score first	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	50%	2.00	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Temperley / FT Temperley ✗	37%	2.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	23%	4.41	–

Temperley – last 6

WLWDWW

3 Oct	vs Gimnasia Jujuy	2–1	W
27 Sep	@ Deportivo Maipu	0–1	L
19 Sep	vs Almagro	3–1	W
13 Sep	@ Patronato	0–0	D
6 Sep	vs Colegiales	3–1	W
30 Aug	@ Quilmes	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Nueva Chicago – last 6

LWDLWL

5 Oct	vs Deportivo Maipu	0–1	L
27 Sep	@ Almagro	1–0	W
21 Sep	vs Patronato	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Colegiales	0–1	L
7 Sep	vs Quilmes	1–0	W
29 Aug	@ Midland	0–2	L

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?

Our pick is Temperley to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?

On our numbers Temperley have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nueva Chicago 12%.

How many goals will there be in Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?

Our predicted score is Temperley 1–0 Nueva Chicago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Beranger.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Temperley v Nueva Chicago: numbers & prediction