Patronato 65%Draw 24%Club Atlético Güemes 12%Expected goals 1.61 – 0.52
65%
Betarazi pick
Patronato to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPatronato to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chancePatronato or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.22
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Patronato welcome Club Atlético Güemes for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 11 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Patronato are 16th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Club Atlético Güemes are 18th (in the drop zone) with 27.
Current form
Patronato, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chacarita Juniors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colegiales, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Patronato, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Club Atlético Güemes.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Club Atlético Güemes 1–0 Patronato.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Patronato 1.6 xG, Club Atlético Güemes 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Patronato 65%, draw 24%, Club Atlético Güemes 12%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Patronato to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Patronato 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Patronato65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.50
Club Atlético Güemes12%fair 8.50 · @6.50
2.13Expected goals
1.61Patronato xG
0.52Club Atlético Güemes xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Patronato 1.6 – 0.5 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Patronato to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Patronato have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Atlético Güemes 12%.
How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is Patronato 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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