Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✗63% · @1.73

Double chanceDefensores De Belgrano or draw ✗86% · @1.15

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.23

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Pasquale. In the table, Defensores De Belgrano are 15th, lower half, on 39 points after 36 matches; Acassuso are 17th (in the drop zone) with 35.

Current form

Defensores De Belgrano, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chaco For Ever, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Acassuso, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ciudad de Bolívar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Defensores De Belgrano, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Acassuso.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Acassuso 1–0 Defensores De Belgrano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Defensores De Belgrano 1.3 xG, Acassuso 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores De Belgrano 63%, draw 23%, Acassuso 14%.
Lower-risk option: Defensores De Belgrano or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Defensores De Belgrano to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 Acassuso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Defensores De Belgrano63%fair 1.58 · @1.73

Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10

Acassuso14%fair 7.31 · @5.00

1.73Expected goals

1.33Defensores De Belgrano xG

0.40Acassuso xG

44%Both score

25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–024%

0–018%

2–016%

1–19%

0–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 1.3 – 0.4 Acassuso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Defensores De Belgrano to win ✗	63%	1.58	1.73 ▲
Double chance	Defensores De Belgrano or draw ✗	86%	1.16	1.15
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	56%	1.77	1.55
Draw no bet	Defensores De Belgrano (draw no bet) ✗	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Defensores De Belgrano -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	52%	1.94	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Defensores De Belgrano to score first ✗	63%	1.58	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	52%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Defensores De Belgrano / FT Defensores De Belgrano ✗	36%	2.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	24%	4.23	–

Defensores De Belgrano – last 6

DLWWDW

4 Oct	@ Chaco For Ever	2–2	D
27 Sep	vs Ferro Carril Oeste	0–1	L
20 Sep	@ Central Norte	1–0	W
14 Sep	vs Deportivo Madryn	2–1	W
9 Sep	vs Los Andes	1–1	D
4 Sep	vs Racing Cordoba	3–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Acassuso – last 6

LWWLLD

3 Oct	vs Ciudad de Bolívar	0–1	L
27 Sep	@ Almirante Brown	1–0	W
19 Sep	vs Atletico Mitre	2–0	W
13 Sep	@ CA Estudiantes	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs All Boys	0–1	L
31 Aug	@ Los Andes	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?

Our pick is Defensores De Belgrano to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?

On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Acassuso 14%.

How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?

Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 Acassuso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso: numbers & prediction