Ciudad de Bolívar v San Telmo Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCiudad de Bolívar to win ✓62% · @1.91

Double chanceCiudad de Bolívar or draw ✓88% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.52

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ciudad de Bolívar welcome San Telmo to Estadio Municipal Eva Peron for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 11 October (23:30 WAT). In the table, Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; San Telmo are 12th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Ciudad de Bolívar, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Acassuso, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

San Telmo, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Almirante Brown, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ciudad de Bolívar 1.4 xG, San Telmo 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ciudad de Bolívar 62%, draw 26%, San Telmo 12%.
Lower-risk option: Ciudad de Bolívar or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ciudad de Bolívar to win (62%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciudad de Bolívar 1–0 San Telmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ciudad de Bolívar62%fair 1.61 · @1.91

Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.90

San Telmo12%fair 8.39 · @4.50

1.86Expected goals

1.42Ciudad de Bolívar xG

0.44San Telmo xG

43%Both score

29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%

2–016%

0–016%

1–110%

3–07%

2–17%

From our goals model: Ciudad de Bolívar 1.4 – 0.4 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ciudad de Bolívar to win ✓	62%	1.61	1.91 ▲
Double chance	Ciudad de Bolívar or draw ✓	88%	1.14	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	1.55
Draw no bet	Ciudad de Bolívar (draw no bet) ✓	84%	1.19	–
Asian handicap	Ciudad de Bolívar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	55%	1.80	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Ciudad de Bolívar to score first ✓	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	50%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ciudad de Bolívar / FT Ciudad de Bolívar ✗	37%	2.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	22%	4.52	–

Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6

WWLDLW

3 Oct	@ Acassuso	1–0	W
26 Sep	vs Chaco For Ever	2–1	W
19 Sep	@ Ferro Carril Oeste	0–1	L
12 Sep	vs Central Norte	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Deportivo Madryn	1–3	L
29 Aug	vs Defensores De Belgrano	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

San Telmo – last 6

WWLWDL

4 Oct	vs Almirante Brown	3–2	W
27 Sep	@ Atletico Mitre	2–0	W
19 Sep	vs CA Estudiantes	0–1	L
12 Sep	@ All Boys	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Los Andes	0–0	D
30 Aug	@ Godoy Cruz	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

Our pick is Ciudad de Bolívar to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

On our numbers Ciudad de Bolívar have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Telmo 12%.

How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

Our predicted score is Ciudad de Bolívar 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ciudad de Bolívar v San Telmo: numbers & prediction