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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo Osaka

WLLW
1–2
FT

Fagiano Okayama

WLD
Cerezo Osaka 53%Draw 24%Fagiano Okayama 23% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.07
77%
Betarazi pick

Cerezo Osaka or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗53% · @1.95
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fagiano Okayama travel to face Cerezo Osaka on Wednesday 18 March in the J1 League, with Yodoko Sakura Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26.

Current form

Cerezo Osaka, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kyoto Sanga, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Fagiano Okayama, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kyoto Sanga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.7 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 53%, draw 24%, Fagiano Okayama 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cerezo Osaka or draw (77%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cerezo Osaka or draw (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerezo Osaka53%fair 1.89 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
Fagiano Okayama23%fair 4.26 · @3.60
2.73Expected goals
1.65Cerezo Osaka xG
1.07Fagiano Okayama xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.7 – 1.1 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerezo Osaka to win ✗53%1.891.95
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✗77%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.70
Draw no betCerezo Osaka (draw no bet) ✗69%1.44–
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.11
First team to scoreCerezo Osaka to score first57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka ✗31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

Cerezo Osaka – last 4

WLLW
14 Mar@ Kyoto Sanga2–1W
28 Feb@ V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
22 Febvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2L
15 Feb@ Avispa Fukuoka2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fagiano Okayama – last 3

WLD
8 Marvs Kyoto Sanga1–0W
22 Febvs Gamba Osaka1–2L
14 Feb@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Fagiano Okayama.

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
– Avispa Fukuoka1 Shimizu S-pulse1 Pens 4–5 135%2.62X27%3.25238%2.62 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT JEF United Chiba1 FC Tokyo2 117%3.85X23%3.55260%1.90 0.8–1.9xG X2FC Tokyo or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT Mito Hollyhock1 Yokohama F. Marinos0 132%2.55X26%3.20242%2.75 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✗
FT Nagoya Grampus2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 127%3.10X24%3.40249%2.20 1.1–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy0 Kawasaki Frontale2 130%3.20X25%3.30244%2.20 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
– Vissel Kobe2 Gamba Osaka2 Pens 3–5 155%1.75X25%3.65220%4.50 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT V-varen Nagasaki1 Kyoto Sanga2 136%2.65X27%3.35237%2.50 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Machida Zelvia0 Kashima3 144%2.33X27%3.25229%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fagiano Okayama 23%.

How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.