Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 18 March the J1 League brings Avispa Fukuoka against Shimizu S-pulse at Best Denki Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to V-varen Nagasaki, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 1.2 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 35%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-pulse 38%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avispa Fukuoka35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.25
Shimizu S-pulse38%fair 2.63 · @2.62
2.42Expected goals
1.20Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.23Shimizu S-pulse xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.2 – 1.2 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win✗
38%
2.63
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Shimizu S-pulse (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Avispa Fukuoka +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Shimizu S-pulse to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Avispa Fukuoka – last 5
LLLLL
15 Mar
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–5
L
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Shimizu S-pulse – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-pulse.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shimizu S-pulse 38%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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